Torcon Map Tomorrow (2024)

FAQs

What is the highest Torcon level? ›

The TOR:CON index ranges from 0 to 10. Multiply the value by 10 to get your percentage chance of a tornado within 50 miles of a location. For example, a TOR:CON index of 6 means there's a 60% chance of a tornado within 50 miles of any location in the indicated area.

TORCON uses a 0-10 scale to indicate how likely a tornado is within 50 miles of a given location, according to Weather Station Advisor. A TORCON level of 2 would mean a 20% risk of a tornado, TORCON 5 would be 50%, and so on.

There is a 7 out of 10 chance for tornados in that area.

The TORCON is a scale from 1 to 10 that the Weather Channel created. based on the Storm Prediction Centers tornado probabilities. to help give folks an understanding of what level of risk they have. for thunderstorms that may produce tornadoes.

Threat: A low threat to life and property. Minimum Action: Preparations should be made for a low likelihood (or a 5 to 14% probability) of tornadoes; scattered tornadoes of F0 to F1 intensity possible. Potential Impact: The potential for scattered locations to experience minor to moderate tornado damage (see below).

TORCON isn't an official weather term that the National Weather Service (NWS) or National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration use. The term was developed by a Weather Channel weather expert Greg Forbes. He came up with an index that helped estimate the risk of tornadoes in a particular area.

TORCON describes the chances for a tornado within 50 miles of your location. Obviously a rating of 3 would mean a 30% chance of a tornado within 50 miles of your house.

Means that there is a 40% chance - in my opinion - of a tornado within 50 miles.

Also known as twisters, tornadoes are violently spinning, funnel-shaped columns of air that stretch from the dark thunderclouds they form in all the way to the ground.

TORCON, short for the Tornado Condition Index, was developed by Dr. Greg Forbes, a meteorologist and severe weather expert at The Weather Channel who retired in 2018, as an index that helped estimate the risk of tornadoes in a particular area.

What does a 2 tornado risk mean? ›

A 2% risk is often associated with marginal or slight risk days, indicating isolated severe storms are possible, with tornadoes being a secondary threat behind other severe weather, like hail or damaging winds.

Ivis Hopkins a tor-con of 5 indicates a 50% possibility of a tornado within 50 miles of you.

During a La Niña year, winter temperatures are warmer than normal in the South and cooler than normal in the North. La Niña can also lead to a more severe hurricane season. La Niña causes the jet stream to move northward and to weaken over the eastern Pacific.

Reaching the 10% threshold indicates a notable increase in the tornado threat. These forecasts are often associated with enhanced or moderate risk days, where several tornadoes are possible, and the potential for a stronger tornado (EF2 or greater) increases.

A tornado emergency is the National Weather Service's highest alert level. It is issued when a violent tornado has touched down in the watch area. There is a severe threat to human life and property, with catastrophic damage confirmed. Immediately seek refuge in the safest location possible.

Means that there is a 40% chance - in my opinion - of a tornado within 50 miles.

Catastrophic damage will occur

Category 5 is the highest category of the Saffir–Simpson scale.